reading notes (Jan. 01 ~ 16)

Unknown
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Risk is a Good Thing!
Some numbers from the construction industry–Low Risk jobs are are often bid with profit margins less that 10%, usually at a fixed price–Medium Risk jobs are bid in the range of 10-15%, usually at a fixed price–High Risk jobs are usually bid 15%-20% or 10-15% on a fixed fee cost plus basis
[所以什么时候都是,风险与回报成正比,打劫银行最赚钱,不过风险也不小]

香港与台湾:民主花开并蒂
========================
民主社会所需条件:
1。公民素质
2。法治文化
3。中产阶级
4。言论自由
5。政党政治
6。司法独立

台湾缺少2,6。香港相对较齐全。[中国好像全部都缺,不过都在进步,而且速度有目共睹]

毕竟台港两地的发展经验,无论是正是负,都是大陆未来发展宝贵的参考。

索忍尼辛曾说,苏联没有中国幸运,在改革开放初期拥有香港与台湾,为改革发展持续注入资金。

大陆台商面临转型关卡
====================
事实上,对想要在大陆设立研发中心的外商来说,招募人才并不困难。但是招募完毕后,如何作适当的管理以及调配资源却是一门学问。

大陆并不是一个市场,而是由很多小市场组合而成,二、三级城市的需求和一级城市大不相同。必须把市场细分化,了解每一个市场的区隔性。

Parenting Got You Down? You’re Not Alone, Says Study
====================================================
Just as we’re taking down the tree, organizing the new toys and stepping onto the scale comes a study finding that may make us wonder why we do it all: Parents are more likely to be depressed than people who do not have children.
[为人父母,不妨多一些enjoy,少一些“责任”,你不是上帝,你depressed,孩子能开心才怪]

创业的艺术
==========
要创业成功,必须荟集各种咨询,你可能会把所有的时间花在学习上,而不是实际去做。然而创业的精髓所在正是“实际去做”,而不是学着怎么去做。
[在一个狭小的领域把所有错误都犯一遍,你就是那个领域的专家,关键是明知道要犯错误都去做]

创造一种意义,造一句格言,着手进行,想出赚钱的方法,织一张“垫子”(阶段性目标)。

How not to forecast price hikes
===============================
The study sends an important warning about blindlyfollowing rules of thumb that worked in the past. Because the link between inflation expectations and actual inflation was so strong in the 1980s, investors and economists have become used to relying on it to forecast inflation.
[the figures of corelation in econ sometime just BS, the chaos theory plays an very important role out there]

Stock options: old game, new tricks
===================================
Options for more volatile stocks are worth more because of the greater chance that recipients will exercise them when prices bounce up. Many companies have reduced their voltility estimates, apparently to whittle down options costs…
[Is there any IT company providing attrative option for new comers any more? I believes companies with employee shares rock. Making money is the NO.1 priorty in business world.]

China became #2 auto market in ’05
==================================
With more than 5.9M vehicles sold in China last year, the country has become the second-largest automobile market in the world, moving ahead of Japan (which saw 5.8M new vehicles sold in 2005).
[不太相信中国的官方数据,不过这种上升势头一定没有假,食物链效应,道路基建建材工厂工业用品运输交通汽车道路,内需可以让中国继续以一贯的作风和路线发展下去,至少还可以有三五七年]

看一个人 (ZZ)

戚, thanks for sharing, I like this one.

一个人的心术,要看他的眼神。
一个人的身价,要看他的对手。
一个人的底牌.要看他身边的好友。
一个人是否快乐,要看他清晨梦醒时的一刹那表情。
一个人的胸襟,要看他如何面对失败及被人出卖。

How do you get creative with your phonecam? (ZZ)

挺有启发性的~~~


How do you get creative with your phonecam?

Your mobile phone camera can be more than a fast way to send your kitty photos to Grandma Pearl. Like a lot of people, I use mine as a ubiquitous capture device, recording ephemeral information and visual documentation wherever and whenever it’s needed.

I’m mostly curious to hear how other folks are using their phonecams (open comments below), but I’ll get the ball rolling with a few ideas, old and new:

    parking hack

  • Remember where you parked – In a parking lot or garage, snap a photo of the section where you’ve parked. If you’re parked on the street in a strange neighborhood, grab a picture of an address, a landmark, or of the signs for the cross street.
  • “Wishlist” items you might want to buy later – If you’re out and about and happen to see a CD, book, or other consumable you might want to pick up later on, snap a photo of the item’s barcode. When you get home you can look the item up on Amazon or Froogle.com and find the best price, or just add it to your canonical online wishlist.
  • Show people where you’ve put things – If you’ve moved the mayonnaise jar with little Tyler’s college money or relocated the good scissors to your work bench, snap a photo and mail it to your housemates.
  • Document your fender bender – If you get hit by another car (and once you’re safely off the road), take a few fast photos of the damage as well as the other driver’s tag and operator’s license. Wen's 1-2-3 Wash & Dry | Window Hours
  • Record the hours of a new store – New dry cleaner or Thai restaurant you want to try? Grab a photo of the hours.
  • Capture inspiring design – See a poster, interior, or typeface you particularly like? Grab a snapshot and use it for later inspiration, research, or as part of a mood board.
  • Hunt for houses and apartments – If you’re looking at potential apartments or a new house, get photos of the kitchen, the bedrooms—even the view from out of some windows.
  • Doublecheck your shopping selection – Can’t remember whether you were supposed to pick up 5 10-penny nails or 10 5-penny nails? Send a photo to the one who sent you on the errand, and have them approve your purchase by return call or IM. Haircut log | 2004-09-30
  • Document your haircut – Snap a few photos of a haircut that turned out well. Get the front, the sides, and the back, and make sure to note the name of the operator. Ask them to describe how to ask for this haircut again, and type it up wherever you’re storing the photo, online or otherwise.
  • Carry your To-do list – If you’re traveling particularly light one day and just have a couple things to remember while you’re out, jot the tasks, phone numbers, or what have you on a sheet of paper, photograph it, and you’re done.

Okay, that’s enough of my yakkin’. You tell me: what’s a cool use for recording or recalling stuff on the go with your phonecam? Appropriate links to Flickr-like sites are encouraged.

 

天底下只有三件事(zz)

挺有道理的, Thx, April…


>> 一件是「自己的事」
>>諸如:上不上班、吃什麼東西、開不開心、結不結婚、要不要幫助人…
>>自己能安排的皆屬之。
>>
>>一件是「別人的事」
>>諸如:小張好吃懶做、小陳婚姻不幸福、老陳對我很不滿意、我幫助別人,
>>別人卻不感激…..別人在主導的事情皆屬之。
>>
>>一件是「老天爺的事」
>>諸如:會不會颳風、地震、戰爭、開悟、成道……人能力範圍以外的事情,
>>都屬於老天爺的管轄範圍。
>>
>>人的煩惱就是來自於:
>>忘了自己的事、愛管別人的事、擔心老天爺的事
>>
>>所以要輕鬆自在很簡單:
>>打理好「自己的事」、不去管「別人的事」、不操心「老天爺的事」
>>
>>這只是靜心在「哲學」上的詮釋,知道並不代表你能辦到。
>>除非你能進入「靜心狀態」去「觀照」,你就會「如實」發現
>>天底下真的只有這三件事:
>>「自己的事」、「別人的事」、「老天爺的事」
>>
>>下次心情不好時,趕快問自己,那件事到底是「誰」的事!

几篇文章

http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa003&articleID=000C8AA5-D4DD-135E-94DD83414B7F0000&ref=rss
精神分裂病人在辨识错觉方面优于常人。我再度肯定自己有分裂倾向,因为我选择了true match
 
http://www.physlink.com/News/071403QuantumDotLED.cfm
量子点可制作LED。ft,早就应该想到啦!科学家们闲来无事根本就是应该到处拿各种光去刺激各种物体,大家又不是不记得,居里夫人怎样发现镭的,伦琴是怎样发现X光的,前年物理诺贝尔奖那两个家伙是怎么发现让光停住的方法的,一大帮心理学家是怎样折腾一只猫十几年最后意外发现视网膜上面的cone和rod的。。。更别说牛顿傻到坐在树下给苹果砸啦,你以为他真傻啊~~~
 
http://www.beyondvc.com/2005/10/order_takers_ve.html
公司只要有一半是order maker,生意已经是不愁没得做了。
 
http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,68840,00.html
太阳能的市场我一直很看好。内力不做功是物理常识,石油总是买少见少的。
http://alt-e.blogspot.com/2005/09/alternative-energy-investment.html
另一篇关于太阳能(还有风能等)的前景分析,挺好的。
http://www.cleanedge.com/story.php?nID=3791
一项太阳能新技术
 

Games managers should play

The success of strategic investments depends largely on the subsequent moves of competitors.

Chess players realize that good strategic decisions require you to take into account the likely moves and counter-moves of other players.

The best business strategists must be skilled at predicting future rounds of competitive conduct.

A common mistake is to assume that all your strategic games are played against competitors and that there is always a winner and a loser. Many of your strategic decisions turn on the actions of other players in the market suppliers, distributors, providers of complementary goods – and "win-win" outcomes are attainable.

Textbook game theory commonly assumes that the players seek rational, profit-maximizing objectives. However, in real business games players often base decisions, at least in the short run, on criteria such as market share or growth.

Most business games are repeated, sequential games.

Although game theory can help you play your current game better, its greatest value often comes from helping players define new games.

 

– Games managers should play

一些科技动态

Soft solar cell
http://www.technologyreview.com/articles/05/10/wo/wo_101705bullis.0.asp
不是硬的,软的,开发中,接近于硬solar cell一半的效率,而太阳能成本跟石化能源成本相当,但比高压电能贵四到五倍。太阳能是我个人比较看好的将来大规模使用的能源,等待提高转化效率。Soft solar cell可以做成跟普通的布料差不多的材质,趋向实用。
 
量子漏洞
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=000D4372-A8A9-1330-A54583414B7F0000
量子计算也是我蛮看好的一个技术(当然神经网络也是另一个我觉得很有前途的方向),学者最新发现的量子漏洞是,无论如何隔离,脱散(decoherence)都会发生,破坏superposition(量子计算的理论基础)。量子计算机的威力何在?简单说,就是速度足以轻易破解当今最强的加密算法。这是无论哪个个人团体国家都想最先拥有的(银行的钱,国家的机密,etc)
 
晶体管流体控制
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa004&articleID=000D5D9F-A849-1330-A54583414B7F0000&ref=rss
晶体管式电子电路的基础元件,控制电流。现在发现可以用于控制微观分子流,代替机械部件(硬阀),做到前所未有的精细控制。科学家现在对DNA排布的研究,如果有了这种控制,可以做更多更精准的实验。更完整的DNA图会更快出现。
 
Microsoft POS (point of sale)
微软最终还是进入了这个市场,一个非常customized的市场,我觉得它纯粹是有闲钱,或者从另一个角度看,想让整个microsoft business solution显得五脏俱全。

李敖清华演讲

网上找不到北大的演讲,不过清华的也算是精彩。我欣赏的并不是他的张狂,而是他的入世,当很多大师明白了只缘身在此山中的道理,都挥袖下山去了,惟李敖,却在那里高呼哪里是我的祖国哪里就有自由,张狂之余需要的更多的是胆量智慧与责任心。

演讲的几点启发:
– 务实,光讲没用,要出钱
– 不要管唱高调的,他们虚伪
– 文化比政治留存久远
– 现代人用电脑需要披沙拣金,想象力比知识重要